Paccar Inc Stock Performance

PCAR Stock  USD 122.91  0.41  0.33%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, PACCAR holds a performance score of 20. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.29, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PACCAR will likely underperform. Please check PACCAR's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether PACCAR's current price history will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PACCAR Inc are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively inconsistent basic indicators, PACCAR reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.33)
Five Day Return
(0.29)
Year To Date Return
10.17
Ten Year Return
279.82
All Time Return
25 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0107
Payout Ratio
0.3874
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
1.32
Dividend Date
2026-03-04
 
PACCAR dividend paid on 3rd of December 2025
12/03/2025
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PACCAR dividend paid on 7th of January 2026
01/07/2026
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Begin Period Cash Flow7.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.3 B

PACCAR Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,592  in PACCAR Inc on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,699  from holding PACCAR Inc or generate 28.14% return on investment over 90 days. PACCAR Inc is currently generating 0.4206% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.6558% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than PACCAR, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days PACCAR is expected to generate 2.22 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

PACCAR Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PACCAR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 122.91 90 days 122.91 
about 5.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PACCAR to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.7 (This PACCAR Inc probability density function shows the probability of PACCAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PACCAR will likely underperform. Additionally PACCAR Inc has an alpha of 0.277, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PACCAR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PACCAR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PACCAR Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.99122.65124.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
110.62128.26129.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
119.08120.73122.39
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
109.39120.21133.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PACCAR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PACCAR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PACCAR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PACCAR Inc.

PACCAR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PACCAR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PACCAR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PACCAR Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PACCAR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.29
σ
Overall volatility
9.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

PACCAR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PACCAR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PACCAR Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of January 2026 PACCAR paid $ 1.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: F or PCAR Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now

PACCAR Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PACCAR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PACCAR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PACCAR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding526.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.3 B

PACCAR Fundamentals Growth

PACCAR Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PACCAR, and PACCAR fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PACCAR Stock performance.

About PACCAR Performance

Assessing PACCAR's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into PACCAR's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the PACCAR is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 33.51  27.74 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.14 

Things to note about PACCAR Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PACCAR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PACCAR Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of January 2026 PACCAR paid $ 1.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: F or PCAR Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now
Evaluating PACCAR's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PACCAR's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PACCAR's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PACCAR's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PACCAR's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PACCAR's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PACCAR's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PACCAR's stock. These opinions can provide insight into PACCAR's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PACCAR's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PACCAR's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for PACCAR Stock Analysis

When running PACCAR's price analysis, check to measure PACCAR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PACCAR is operating at the current time. Most of PACCAR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PACCAR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PACCAR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PACCAR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.